Tuesday, October 29, 2013

Is Sony a Buy at These Prices?

With shares of Sony (NYSE:SNE) trading around $21, is SNE an OUTPERFORM, WAIT AND SEE or STAY AWAY? Let's analyze the stock with the relevant sections of our CHEAT SHEET investing framework:

T = Trends for a Stock’s Movement

Sony is involved in the electronics, game, entertainment and financial businesses. The company operates in segments: Consumer Products Services, Professional Device Solutions, Movie, Music, Finance, Mobile and Other. Through its segments, Sony is able to provide a wide range of products and services. These products include televisions, cameras, personal computers, game consoles, navigation systems, audio and video equipment, software, phones, and media platforms. The company bring new technologies to the hands of your average joe and professional users. Look for Sony to continue to be a top choice for avid technology adopters worldwide.

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T = Technicals on the Stock Chart are Strong

Sony stock has been in a decline for for the last several years that has taken it to low prices not seen for decades. The stock has seen a strong bid this year that had led to a monster bounce. Analyzing the price trend and its strength can be done using key simple moving averages. What are the key moving averages? The 50-day (pink), 100-day (blue), and 200-day (yellow) simple moving averages. As seen in the daily price chart below, Sony is trading above its rising key averages which signal neutral to bullish price action in the near-term.

SNE

(Source: Thinkorswim)

Taking a look at the implied volatility (red) and implied volatility skew levels of Sony options may help determine if investors are bullish, neutral, or bearish.

Implied Volatility (IV)

30-Day IV Percentile

90-Day IV Percentile

Sony Options

53.50%

90%

89%

What does this mean? This means that investors or traders are buying a very significant amount of call and put options contracts, as compared to the last 30 and 90 trading days.

Put IV Skew

Call IV Skew

July Options

Flat

Average

August Options

Flat

Average

As of today, there is an average demand from call buyers or sellers and low demand by put buyers or high demand by put sellers, all neutral to bullish over the next two months. To summarize, investors are buying a very significant amount of call and put option contracts and are leaning neutral to bullish over the next two months.

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On the next page, let’s take a look at the earnings and revenue growth rates and the conclusion.

E = Earnings Are Improving Quarter-Over-Quarter

Rising stock prices are often strongly correlated with rising earnings and revenue growth rates. Also, the last four quarterly earnings announcement reactions help gauge investor sentiment on Sony’s stock. What do the last four quarterly earnings and revenue growth (Y-O-Y) figures for Sony look like and more importantly, how did the markets like these numbers?

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2013 Q1

2012 Q4

2012 Q3

2012 Q2

Earnings Growth (Y-O-Y)

125.35%

93.93%

43.45%

35.67%

Revenue Growth (Y-O-Y)

-5.41%

-4.07%

0.48%

3.61%

Earnings Reaction

0.78%

-4.36%

0.68%

-7.41%

Sony has seen improving earnings and mixed revenue figures over the last four quarters. From these numbers, the markets have had mixed feelings about Sony’s recent earnings announcements.

P = Excellent Relative Performance Versus Peers and Sector

How has Sony stock done relative to its peers, Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), Canon (NYSE:CAJ), Dolby Laboratories (NYSE:DLB), and sector?

Sony

Microsoft

Canon

Dolby Laboratories

Sector

Year-to-Date Return

91.34%

31.08%

-14.49%

17.46%

25.77%

Sony has been a relative performance leader, year-to-date.

Conclusion

Sony provides access to a large selection of technology products to consumers and companies around the world. The stock has seen an overall decline, over the last several years, but is now bouncing from lows. Over the last four quarters, investors have had mixed feelings about the company as earnings have improved while revenue figures have been mixed. Relative to its peers and sector, Sony has led in year-to-date performance by a wide margin. Look for Sony to continue its bounce and OUTPERFORM.

Monday, October 28, 2013

Here's What Investors Should Do With Netflix

Netflix (Nasdaq: NFLX) stock had a very short-lived boost from Monday's earnings report.

The earnings report showed great news for the company - Netflix reported it ended Q3 with 29.3 million paid domestic users. The video streaming giant added 1.3 million U.S. customers in the third quarter and is on track to surpass Time Warner's HBO in paying viewers.

HBO had 28.96 million U.S. subscribers as of June 30, according to the latest data available, and CBS Corp's Showtime had roughly 23 million.

Netflix has benefited from the growing trend of households canceling cable TV subscriptions. It has expanded its library of titles by producing and funding original programs. Its "Orange Is the New Black" and "House of Cards" have garnered a great deal of social media chatter and critical acclaim. In fact, Netflix made history by being the first non-TV network to win an award at the 2013 Emmys for "Cards."

 

The news pushed NFLX stock about 10% higher in after-hours trading Monday. It hit a record high Tuesday of $389.16 before falling 9.15% to $322.52.

Profit-taking nailed the stock, which was up only about 1% by Wednesday at 2 p.m.

And this is exactly what Chief Executive Officer (CEO) Reed Hastings feared would happen when he warned of "investor euphoria."

NFLX and Investor Euphoria

As of Tuesday morning, Netflix stock had soared 440% in the past year, and 275% year-to-date.

CEO Hastings said in the investor conference call Monday night that while he was happy with his company's performance, there was more than that behind the stock's move.

"We have a sense of momentum driving the stock price," Hastings said on a conference call. "There's not a lot we can do about it."

Hastings likened the current investor frenzy to 2003, when the Los Gatos, Calif., company was the highest-performing stock traded on the Nasdaq.

He wrote in a note to shareholders that Netflix will focus on growing subscriber base and is doing its best to ignore the stock's volatility.

Wedbush Securities Analyst Michael Pachter said the stock's soaring price indicates investors are not concerned about the gap between net income and cash flow. The gap, $85 million for the first nine months of 2013, is the result of Netflix's steep investment in producing original content.

"That suggests to me that their earnings growth will be a lot less dramatic than the share price suggests," Pachter told USA Today.

One investor who was ready to pull out of NFLX stock: Carl Icahn.

Icahn dumped 3 million Netflix shares - half his stake - and pocketed an $800 million profit.

Just after 5 p.m. Tuesday, Icahn tweeted: "Sold block of NFLX today. Wish to thank Reed Hastings, Ted Sarandos, NFLX team, and last but not least Kevin Spacey..."

He included a link to the Schedule 13D filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

Will Netflix (Nasdaq: NFLX) Stock Go Higher?

Netflix subscribers are likely to stick around, with the company's content pipeline looking attractive...

This quarter, Netflix will debut its first animated original series in partnership with Dream Works Animation. Next year, the pair will collaborate on several other series.

Also in 2014, Netflix plans to double investment in original content.

Additionally, the company is eyeing overseas expansion.

"We plan to launch in new markets next year," Hasting wrote. "Our success this year in increasing international net additions to nearly the level of our domestic net additions shows sustainable momentum."

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The company has partnered with Virgin Media in the U.K. to offer Netflix as an option in the cable company's set-top box.

"We are open to more of these integrations with cable set-tops around the word," Hastings wrote. "But given the fragmented technology footprints, we think it will be many years before cable set-top boxes match Internet set-top boxes for Netflix."

That means, for investors in Netflix stock, international expansion and heavy outlays for original programming could translate into weakness in 2014.

And, if in fact NFLX stock is like 2003, when investor frenzy drove the share prices six times higher in about a year and a half, then beware what could be next: Netflix stock fell about 75% in a year.

Investors should take a page from Icahn's playbook on this one. NFLX stock, boasting big gains, is just begging to be sold right now.

Instead, check out this stock that's headed for a double...

Related Articles:

Bloomberg:
Breaking Down Netflix 3rd-Qtr Earnings Report Forbes:
Netflix Banks on 'House of Cards' and 'Orange Is the New Black' to Quadruple Its Profits CNN Money:
Netflix Jumps 10% on Robust Growth and Rosy Outlook

Friday, October 25, 2013

Top Small Cap Stocks To Own For 2014

Small cap stocks Alliance Creative Group Inc (OTCMKTS: ACGX), Dale Jarrett Racing Adventure Inc (OTCMKTS: DJRT), Inscor Inc (OTCMKTS: IOGA) and Solar Thin Films Inc (OTCMKTS: SLTZ) have all been getting some attention lately in various investment newsletters and it should come as no surprise that two out of four of these stocks have been the subject of paid promotions ��which tend to benefit traders. However, two out of four of these stocks also have pretty good financials for being small cap OTC stocks and that might make them attractive to investors with a long term time horizon. So which of these stocks might make traders some profits in the short term and investors some profits over the longer term? Here is a closer look to help you decide:

Alliance Creative Group Inc (OTCMKTS: ACGX) Has Pretty Good Financials for an OTC Stock

Small cap Alliance Creative Group is a printing, packaging, product development, management and procurement company. On Friday, Alliance Creative Group rose 3.70% to $0.0028 for a market cap of $41,439 plus ACGX is down 89.8% over the past year and up 600% over the past five years according to Google Finance.

Top Small Cap Stocks To Own For 2014: bebe stores inc.(BEBE)

bebe stores, inc. engages in the design, development, and production of women?s apparel and accessories. Its products include a range of separates, tops, dresses, active wear, and accessories in career, evening, casual, and active lifestyle categories. The company markets its products under the bebe, BEBE SPORT, bbsp, and 2b bebe brand names targeting 21 to 34-year-old woman. As of July 2, 2011, it operated 252 retail stores, and an online store at bebe.com in the United States, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, Japan, and Canada, as well as 60 international licensee operated stores in south east Asia, the United Arab Emirates, Israel, Russia, Mexico, and Turkey. The company was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Brisbane, California.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Rich Smith]

    This series, brought to you by Yahoo! Finance, looks at which upgrades and downgrades make sense and which ones investors should act on. Today, our headlines include upgrades for both industrialist Aixtron (NASDAQ: AIXG  ) and fashionista bebe stores (NASDAQ: BEBE  ) . But the news isn't all good, so let's start off with a few words on...

Top Small Cap Stocks To Own For 2014: Achillion Pharmaceuticals Inc.(ACHN)

Achillion Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of treatments for infectious diseases. The company focuses on the development of antivirals for the treatment of chronic hepatitis C; and the development of antibacterials for the treatment of resistant bacterial infections. Its drug candidates for the treatment of chronic HCV include ACH-1625, a protease inhibitor, which is in phase IIa clinical trial for the treatment of chronic HCV; ACH-2684, a pangenotypic protease inhibitor, which is in phase I clinical trial for the treatment of chronic HCV infection; and NS5A inhibitors for the treatment of chronic HCV infection, including ACH-2928, which is to enter a phase I clinical trial, as well as various additional NS5A inhibitors in preclinical development. Its pipeline of product candidates also includes ACH-702 and ACH-2881 for drug resistant bacterial infections; elvucitabine for HIV infection; and AC H-1095 for HCV infection. The company was founded in 1998 and is based in New Haven, Connecticut.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By David Williamson]

    In this video, David Williamson describes how Achillion Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: ACHN  ) may challenge Gilead's (NASDAQ: GILD  ) dominance in the Hepatitis C drug market. Achillion is concluding phase 2 clinical trials of its oral interferon medication, and so far, things are looking good. If successful in phase 3 trials, Achillion could directly challenge Gilead's interferon medication. For investors, the success of Achillion's drug is attractive, but the potential for Achillion to be a takeover target is even more enticing. The company has a market cap of around $575 million and could easily be bought out by the likes of Bristol-Myers Squibb.

  • [By Keith Speights]

    2. Achillion Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: ACHN  )
    Achillion recently experienced a delay in the game that it had hoped to play. The FDA placed a clinical hold on hepatitis C drug sovaprevir after patients in a phase 1 drug-drug interaction study with the drug combined with ritonavir-boosted atazanavir were found to have elevated liver enzyme levels. Shares dropped 25% in one day as a result.

  • [By Lauren Pollock]

    Among the companies with shares expected to actively trade in Monday’s session are Achillion Pharmaceuticals Inc.(ACHN), Active Network Inc.(ACTV) and Harvest Natural Resources Inc.(HNR)

  • [By Grace L. Williams]

    We took a look at Achillion Pharmaceuticals (ACHN) after two directors bought 40,000 shares for $394,800. Dennis Liotta bought 20,000 shares for $158,100 and Jason Fisherman bought 20,000 shares for $155,000. InsiderScore gave Liotta a nod, writing, ��iotta has been a smart buyer at Achillion in the past. He bought the same number of shares here, this time at a price 28% higher, which is the highest price he has paid for shares.��/p>

Top 10 Gold Stocks To Invest In Right Now: Petroquest Energy Inc(PQ)

PetroQuest Energy, Inc. operates as an independent oil and gas company. It engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of oil and gas properties in Oklahoma, Arkansas, and Texas, as well as onshore and in the shallow waters offshore the Gulf Coast Basin. As of December 31, 2009, the company had estimated proved reserves of 1,931 thousand barrels of oil and 167,361 million cubic feet equivalent of natural gas. It owned working interests in 9 net producing oil wells and 277 net producing gas wells. PetroQuest Energy was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Lafayette, Louisiana.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Jon C. Ogg]

    PetroQuest Energy Inc. (NYSE: PQ) was downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at J.P. Morgan.

    Rubicon Technology Inc. (NASDAQ: RBCN) was downgraded to Underperform from Perform at Oppenheimer.

Top Small Cap Stocks To Own For 2014: ATA Inc.(ATAI)

ATA Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides computer-based testing services in the People?s Republic of China. It offers services for the creation and delivery of computer-based tests utilizing its test delivery platform, proprietary testing technologies, and testing services; and provides logistical support services relating to test administration. The company?s computer-based testing services are used for professional licensure and certification tests in various industries, including information technology (IT) services, banking, securities, teaching, and insurance. Its e-testing platform integrates various aspects of the test delivery process for computer-based tests ranging from test form compilation to test scoring, and results analysis. ATA also provides career-oriented educational services, such as single course programs, degree major course programs, and pre-occupational training programs focusing on preparing students to pass IT and other vocational certification tests; test preparation and training programs and services to test candidates preparing to take professional certification tests in securities, futures, banking, insurance and teaching industries; online test preparation and training platform for the securities and banking industries; and test preparation software for the teaching industry. In addition, the company offers HR select employee assessment solution, an online system that utilizes its proprietary software and an inventory of test titles to help employers improve the efficiency and accuracy of their employee recruitment process. As of March 31, 2010, it had contractual relationships with 1,988 ATA authorized test centers. The company serves Chinese governmental agencies, professional associations, IT vendors, and Chinese educational institutions, as well as individual test preparation services. ATA Inc. was founded in 1999 and is based in Beijing, the People?s Republic of China.

Top Small Cap Stocks To Own For 2014: KongZhong Corporation(KONG)

KongZhong Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides wireless interactive entertainment, media, and community services to mobile phone users in the People's Republic of China. It also involves in the development, distribution, and marketing of consumer wireless value-added services, including wireless application protocol, multimedia messaging services, short messaging services, interactive voice response services, and color ring back tones. In addition, it offers interactive entertainment services, such as mobile games, pictures, karaoke, electronic books, mobile phone personalization features, entertainment news, chat, and message boards; and through Kong.net offer news, community services, games, and other interactive media and entertainment services; and sells advertising space in the form of text-link, banner, and button advertisements. Further, the company develops and publishes mobile games, including downloadable mobile games and online mobile games cons isting of action, role-playing, and leisure games. As of December 31, 2009, it had a library of approximately 300 internally developed mobile games. Additionally, it develops online games; and provides consulting and technology services, as well as media and net book services. The company was formerly known as Communication Over The Air Inc. and changed its name to KongZhong Corporation in March 2004. KongZhong Corporation was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People?s Republic of China

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Seth Jayson]

    Calling all cash flows
    When you are trying to buy the market's best stocks, it's worth checking up on your companies' free cash flow once a quarter or so, to see whether it bears any relationship to the net income in the headlines. That's what we do with this series. Today, we're checking in on Kongzhong (Nasdaq: KONG  ) , whose recent revenue and earnings are plotted below.

Thursday, October 24, 2013

1 Grocer's Billion-Dollar Bet

Kroger (NYSE: KR  ) is buying Harris Teeter for $2.5 billion, but is Kroger making a smart bet? With only 200 locations, Harris Teeter expands Kroger's store count by just 10%. Motley Fool analyst Jason Moser discusses the competitive landscape in the grocery business and how Kroger is caught between Whole Foods (NASDAQ: WFM  ) and Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT  ) . Although shares of Kroger rose on the news, Jason believes investors can do better than jumping in today.

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Tuesday, October 22, 2013

Emerging Stocks Rise on U.S. Jobs Data as Ibovespa Surges

Emerging-market stocks rose for a sixth day as lower-than-forecast growth in U.S. payrolls fueled speculation the Federal Reserve will refrain from tapering stimulus. Brazil's Ibovespa climbed to a seven-month high.

The MSCI Emerging Markets Index advanced 0.2 percent to 1,044.66. The Ibovespa jumped to the highest level since March 18 as iron-ore producer Vale SA (VALE5) rallied, while AngloGold Ashanti Ltd. drove the FTSE/JSE Africa All Shares Index to a record in Johannesburg. South Africa's rand jumped to a one-month high, pacing gains among 24 developing-nation currencies.

Stocks joined a global rally after a government report showed that U.S. payrolls climbed less than projected in September, indicating the economy had little momentum leading up to the government shutdown. The jobless rate fell to an almost five-year low. The budget dispute weighed on fourth-quarter growth and will prompt policy makers to wait until March before starting to trim stimulus, a Bloomberg survey showed last week.

"The weak employment data we saw this morning would support a more accommodative Fed going forward," Kevin Caron, a Florham Park, New Jersey-based market strategist at Stifel Nicolaus & Co., which oversees about $150 billion, said by phone. The market is "starting to price in that maybe the Fed won't be so tight after all," he said.

Seven out of 10 groups in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index advanced, led by commodity and utility companies. The benchmark gauge for developing nations has retreated 1 percent this year to trade at 10.8 times projected earnings, compared with the valuation of 14.4 for the MSCI World Index.

Emerging ETF

The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index exchange-traded fund rallied 1 percent to $43.66. The Chicago Board Options Exchange Emerging Markets ETF Volatility Index, a measure of options prices on the fund and expectations of price swings, advanced 2.1 percent to 19.26.

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Brazil's Ibovespa advanced for a third day as Vale rallied 1.3 percent. Airline Gol Linhas Aereas Inteligentes SA surged after a measure of profitability climbed in September. The real rebounded from earlier losses, while Mexico's peso snapped a two-day drop.

Russian equities declined for the first time in three days as OAO Mechel, the nation's biggest producer of coal for steelmakers, slumped 1.6 percent. The Borsa Istanbul National 100 Index gained for a a fifth day, led by Turkiye Garanti Bankasi AS. Benchmark gauges in Poland and Hungary retreated.

China, India

The Shanghai Composite Index retreated, led by developers, as surging home prices spurred speculation the government may tighten property curbs. Poly Real Estate Group Co. (600048) and Gemdale Corp. (600383) paced declines for property companies.

Indian (SENSEX) stocks dropped as some investors bet the benchmark index's gain to a three-year high yesterday was excessive. Hero MotoCorp Ltd. (HMCL), the nation's largest motorcycle maker, slid for the first time in four days. Reliance Industries Ltd. (RIL), owner of the world's biggest refining complex, fell the most in two weeks. Software exporter Wipro Ltd. (WPRO) climbed to a 13-year high.

The FTSE/JSE Africa All Shares Index rose for a ninth day in the longest winning streak since October 2007. AngloGold Ashanti surged 7.9 percent. The rand gained 1.2 percent.

Telecom Egypt, the country's landline phone monopoly, climbed to the highest level since February after Vodafone Plc expressed interest in buying the shares it doesn't already own in the companies' local joint venture. The benchmark EGX 30 Index rose 1.8 percent.

The premium investors demand to own emerging-market debt over U.S. Treasuries rose five basis points, or 0.05 percentage point, to 315 basis points, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co.

'Serious Moments'

Emerging-market currencies will probably see bigger declines next year when the Federal Reserve actually starts tapering its record stimulus, Stephen Jen, co-founder of hedge fund SLJ Macro Partners LLP said.

"Emerging-market currencies will have serious moments" in 2014, Jen, the former global head of foreign-exchange at Morgan Stanley who predicted the rout in April, said at a conference in Singapore. "What we have seen this year I think is just a pre-earthquake tremor. It was only the possibility that the Fed will start tapering that caused this volatility."

What Are Hedge Funds?

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A hedge fund is basically a fancy name for an investment partnership. It's the marriage of a fund manager, which can often be known as the general partner, and the investors in the hedge fund, sometimes known as the limited partners. The limited partners contribute the money and the general partner manages it according to the fund's strategy. A hedge fund's purpose is to maximize investor returns and eliminate risk, hence the word "hedge." If these objectives sound a lot like the objectives of mutual funds, they are, but that is basically where the similarities end.

The name "hedge fund" came into being because the aim of these vehicles was to make money regardless of whether the market climbed higher or declined. This was made possible because the managers could "hedge" themselves by going long or short stocks (shorting is a way to make money when a stock drops).

Key Characteristics

1. Only open to "accredited" or qualified investors: Investors in hedge funds have to meet certain net worth requirements to invest in them - net worth exceeding $1 million excluding their primary residence.

2. Wider investment latitude: A hedge fund's investment universe is only limited by its mandate. A hedge fund can basically invest in anything - land, real estate, stocks, derivatives, currencies. Mutual funds, by contrast, have to basically stick to stocks or bonds.

3. Often employ leverage: Hedge funds will often use borrowed money to amplify their returns. As we saw during the financial crisis of 2008, leverage can also wipe out hedge funds.

4. Fee structure: Instead of charging an expense ratio only, hedge funds charge both an expense ratio and a performance fee. The common fee structure is known as "Two and Twenty" - a 2% asset management fee and then a 20% cut of any gains generated.

There are more specific characteristics that def! ine a hedge fund, but basically because they are private investment vehicles that only allow wealthy individuals to invest, hedge funds can pretty much do what they want as long as they disclose the strategy upfront to investors. This wide latitude may sound very risky, and at times it can be. Some of the most spectacular financial blow-ups have involved hedge funds. That said, this flexibility afforded to hedge funds has led to some of the most talented money managers producing some amazing long-term returns.

A Hedge Fund at Work - A Fictional Example

To better understand hedge funds and why they have become so popular with both investors and money managers, let's set one up and watch it work for one year. I will call my hedge fund "Value Opportunities Fund, LLC." My operating agreement - the legal document that says how my fund works - states that I will receive 25% of any profits over 5% per year, and that I can invest in anything anywhere in the world.

Ten investors sign up, each putting in $10 million, so my fund starts with $100 million. Each investor fills out his investment agreement - similar to an account application form - and sends his check directly to my broker or to a fund administrator, who will record his or her investment on the books and then wire the funds to the broker. A fund administrator is an accounting firm that provides all the administration work for an investment fund. Value Opportunities Fund is now open, and I begin managing the money. Once I find attractive opportunities, I call my broker and tell him what to buy with the $100 million.

A year goes by and my fund is up 40%, so it is now worth $140 million. Now, according to the fund's operating agreement, the first 5% belongs to the investors with anything above that being split 25% to me and 75% to my investors. So the capital gain of $40 million would first be reduced by $2 million, or 5% of $40 million, and that goes to the investors. That 5% is known as a "hurdle" rate, because you have! to first! achieve that 5% "hurdle" rate return before earning any performance compensation. The remaining $38 million is split 25% to me and 75% to my investors.

Based on my first-year performance and the terms of my fund, I have earned $9.5 million in compensation in a single year. The investors get the remaining $28.5 million along with the $2 million hurdle rate cut for a capital gain of $30.5 million. As you can see, the hedge fund business can be very lucrative. If I were managing $1 billion instead, my take would have been $95 million and my investors, $305 million. Of course, many hedge fund managers get vilified for earning such exuberant sums of money. But that's because those doing the finger pointing - often the newspapers - fail to mention that my investors made $305 million. When is the last time you heard an investor in a hedge fund complain that his fund manager was getting paid too much?

Compensation Criticism - 2 and 20

From our fictional fund example above, it's evident that hedge fund managers earn a lot of money. But what perhaps gets the most criticism is the most popular compensation scheme in the hedge fund world: it's called the "2 and 20," and it is used by a large majority of hedge funds currently in operation.

The 2 and 20 compensation structure means that the hedge fund's operating agreement calls for the fund manager to receive 2% of assets and 20% of profits each year. It's the 2% that gets the criticism, and it's not difficult to see why. Even if the hedge fund manager loses money, he still gets 2% of assets. A manager overseeing a $1 billion fund could pocket $20 million a year in compensation without lifting a finger. Worse yet is the fund manager who pockets $20 million while his fund loses money. He or she then has to explain to investors why their account values declined while justifying getting paid $20 million. It's a tough sell and one that doesn't usually work. In the fictional example above, my particular fund charged no asset management ! fee and i! nstead took a higher performance cut - 25% instead of 20%. This gives a hedge fund manager an opportunity to make more money - not at the expense of the fund's investors, but rather alongside them. Unfortunately, this no asset management fee structure is rare in today's hedge fund world. The 2 and 20 structure still prevails, although many funds are starting to go to a 1 and 20 setup.

Hedge Funds Today and Strategies

By most estimates, thousands of hedge funds are operating today, collectively managing over $1 trillion. Hedge funds can pursue a varying degree of strategies including macro, equity, relative value, distressed securities and activism. A macro hedge fund invests in stocks, bonds and currencies in hopes of profiting from changes in macroeconomic variables such as global interest rates and countries' economic policies. An equity hedge fund may be global or country specific, investing in attractive stocks while hedging against downturns in equity markets by shorting overvalued stocks or stock indices. A relative-value hedge fund takes advantage of price or spread inefficiencies. Other hedge fund strategies include aggressive growth, income, emerging markets, value and short selling.

Another popular strategy is the "fund of funds" approach in which a hedge fund mixes and matches other hedge funds and other pooled investment vehicles. This blending of different strategies and asset classes aims to provide a more stable long-term investment return than any of the individual funds. Returns, risk and volatility can be controlled by the mix of underlying strategies and funds.

Notable hedge funds today include the Paulson Funds, a group of various hedge funds founded by John Paulson. Paulson became famous after his fund reaped billions from betting against mortgages back in 2008. Paulson has other specific hedge funds, including one that invests solely in gold, for example.

Pershing Square is a highly successful and high-profile activist hedge fund run by Bill Ackman. Ackman invests in companies that he feels are undervalued with the goal of taking a more active role in the company to unlock value. Activism typically includes changing the board of directors, appointing new management or pushing for a sale of the company. Carl Icahn, a well-known activist, also heads up very successful activist hedge funds. In fact, one of his holding companies, Icahn Enterprises (Nasdaq:IEP), is publicly traded and gives investors who can't or don't want to directly invest in a hedge fund an opportunity to bet on Icahn and his skill at unlocking value.

New Regulations for Hedge Funds

One aspect that has set the hedge fund industry apart for so long is the fact that hedge funds face little money-management regulation. Compared to mutual funds, pension funds and other investment vehicles, hedge funds are the least regulated. That's because hedge funds are only allowed to take money from "qualified" investors - individuals with an annual income that exceeds $200,000 for the past two years or a net worth exceeding $1 million excluding their primary residence. As such, the Securities and Exchange Commission deems qualified investors suitable enough to handle the potential risks that come from a wider investment mandate.

But make no mistake, hedge funds are regulated, and recently they are coming under the microscope more and more. Hedge funds are so big and powerful that the SEC is starting to pay closer attention. And breaches such as insider trading seem to be occurring much more frequently, an activity regulators come down hard on.

In September 2013, the hedge ! fund industry experienced one of the most significant regulatory changes to come along in years. In March 2012, the Jumpstart Our Business Startups Act (JOBS Act) was signed into law. The basic premise of the JOBS Act was to encourage funding of small businesses in the U.S by easing securities regulation. The JOBS Act also had a major impact on hedge funds: In September 2013, the ban on hedge fund advertising was lifted. In a 4-to-1 vote, the SEC approved a motion to allow hedge funds and other firms that create private offerings to advertise to whomever they want, but they can only accept investments from accredited investors. While hedge funds may not look like small businesses, because of their wide investment latitude they are often key suppliers of capital to startups and small businesses. Giving hedge funds the opportunity to solicit capital would in effect help the growth of small businesses by increasing the pool of available investment capital.

Hedge fund advertising deals with offering the fund's investment products to accredited investors or financial intermediaries through print, television and the internet. A hedge fund that wants to solicit (advertise to) investors must file a "Form D" with the SEC at least 15 days before it starts advertising. Because hedge fund advertising was strictly prohibited prior to lifting this ban, the SEC is very interested in how advertising is being used by private issuers, so it has made changes to Form D filings. Funds that make public solicitations will also need to file an amended Form D within 30 days of the offering's termination. Failure to follow these rules will likely result in a ban from creating additional securities for a year or more.

Not For Everyone

It should be obvious that hedge funds offer some worthwhile benefits over traditional investment funds. Some notable benefits of hedge funds include:

· 1. Investment strategies that have the ability to generate positive returns in both rising and falling equity an! d bond ma! rkets.

· 2. Hedge funds in a balanced portfolio can reduce overall portfolio risk and volatility and increase returns.

· 3. A huge variety of hedge fund investment styles – many uncorrelated with each other – provide investors the ability to precisely customize investment strategy.

· 4. Access to some of the world's most talented investment managers.

Of course, hedge funds are not without risk as well:

· 1. Concentrated investment strategy exposes hedge funds to potentially huge losses.

· 2. Hedge funds typically require investors to lock up money for a period of years.

· 3. Use of leverage, or borrowed money, can turn what would have been a minor loss into a significant loss.

The Bottom Line

Just as with any investment strategy, investors must look at their own specific goals and needs and decide whether hedge funds fit their current investment needs.

Sunday, October 20, 2013

Amazon's Kindle Worlds Just Got More Exciting

Well, that was fast. Less than a month ago, Amazon.com (NASDAQ: AMZN  ) officially launched Kindle Worlds, calling it "the first commercial publishing platform that will enable any writer to create fan fiction based on a range of original stories and characters and earn royalties for doing so."

But while the service gave aspiring writers the rights to create fan fiction based on only three books from Warner Brothers Television Group's Alloy Entertainment -- namely Gossip Girl, Pretty Little Liars, and Vampire Diaries -- I noted at the time that Amazon had also promised "plans to announce more licenses soon."

A Valiant effort
Now, Amazon just announced it has secured the rights to a decidedly more action-oriented genre, with content from comic-book publisher Valiant Entertainment.

Of course, I did mention last month that the holy grail of licensing deals would ideally involve signatures from DC Entertainment or Disney's (NYSE: DIS  ) Marvel. After all, Disney was willing to fork out more than $4 billion for Marvel in 2009, thanks largely to the more than 9,000 distinct characters in its universe, including the likes of Spider-Man, Captain America, Iron Man, The Fantastic Four, the X-Men, and the Hulk.  

And DC, for its part, has more than 10,000 characters in its universe, most notably including Superman, Batman, Wonder Woman, the Green Lantern, Aquaman, and Catwoman.

Then again, while Disney and DC are doing just fine capitalizing on their content by themselves, I still maintain that they could both benefit by signing a fan-fiction deal with Amazon. As Valiant CFO and head of strategic development Gavin Cuneo stated in Friday's release:

Comics are well known for their passionate and interactive fan communities, and, through the Kindle Worlds platform, we're excited to give aspiring authors and fans the opportunity to work within the Valiant Universe, make their stories accessible to a large audience, and earn revenue for their work.

Top 10 Blue Chip Companies To Own For 2014

Besides, as I also mentioned a few weeks ago, thanks to its recent Star Wars video-game deal with Electronic Arts, w (NASDAQ: EA  ) e already know Disney isn't new to the licensing game.

Back to Valiant, though. Even in the massive shadows of its rivals, it's worth noting that the small company did win the Diamond Gem Award for Best Comic Book Publisher of the Year in 2012 for companies with less than 4% total market share. In addition, Valiant boasts a library of more than 1,500 characters and has sold more than 80 million comic books since its founding in 1989.

For now, though, Valiant's agreement with Amazon gives fan-fiction writers the rights to create and sell their own works based only on the comic book series Bloodshot, X-O Manowar, Archer & Armstrong, Harbinger, and Shadowman, "with more to be added at a later date." In addition, it includes Howey's Silo Saga, Eisler's John Rain novels, Crouch's Wayward Pines Series, and the Foreworld Saga.

Source: ValiantUniverse.com.

In the end, however, this should give Kindle Worlds writers plenty to chew on while Amazon works on securing even more content for our literary pleasure.

But speaking of aspiring writers' work, Amazon also stated that, later this month, the Kindle Worlds Store is expected to finally launch starting with at least 50 commissioned works.

At the same time, Amazon will also release a self-service submission platform for Kindle Worlds, providing an easy way for any writer to submit his or her own completed work. And remember, Amazon is paying a standard royalty rate of 35% of revenue for works of at least 10,000 words, and 20% for shorter stories between 5,000 and 10,000 words. The rest, of course, will be split between Amazon and its licensors.

Foolish takeaway
In the end, my hat's off to Amazon for so quickly fulfilling its promise to writers to bring more content to Kindle Worlds.

Of course, it certainly wasn't an entirely selfless pledge. By extending its already-in-place publishing platform and taking the nitty-gritty licensing details out of the equation for fan-fiction writers, Amazon has intelligently created a fantastic, low-overhead source of new revenue with absolutely massive potential going forward.

But while everyone knows Amazon is the king of the retail world right now, at its sky-high valuation, most investors are worried it's the company's share price that will get knocked down instead of its competitors'. The Motley Fool's premium report will tell you what's driving the company's growth, and fill you in on reasons to buy and reasons to sell Amazon. The report also has you covered with a full year of free analyst updates to keep you informed as the company's story changes, so click here now to read more.

Saturday, October 19, 2013

Top Portfolio Products: New Arbitrage Fund from Touchstone Investments

New products and changes introduced over the last week include a new arbitrage fund from Touchstone Investments and a new program from Commonfund.

In addition, AllianceBernstein added a new share class and revamped the retirement section of its website.

Here are the latest developments of interest to advisors:

1) Touchstone Investments Launches Arbitrage Fund

Touchstone Investments recently announced the launch of the Touchstone Arbitrage Fund (TMACX), which is subadvised by Longfellow Investment Management Co. TMACX seeks to achieve positive returns regardless of market conditions over the long-term. It primarily invests in securities of companies that are involved in publicly announced mergers and other corporate reorganizations that have been defined and disclosed. Non-deal arbitrage and fixed-income complement the fund’s merger arbitrage investments. TMACX will be offered across several share classes.

The fund’s portfolio management team includes Barbara McKenna, who is managing principal and portfolio manager; Alexander Graham; David Stuehr; and John Villela. Collectively, the team brings more than four decades of arbitrage investing experience to Touchstone.

2) Commonfund Launches Multi-Asset Program, Announces New Appointments

On Thursday Commonfund formally announced its multi-asset program, which is designed to increase investment solutions and support for the company’s mid-sized (under $50 million in assets) non-profit clients. The firm also announced three new appointments.

Steven Snyder has been appointed to the position of managing director and head of the program. A 15-year veteran of the firm, he is currently managing director, head of client services.

Michael Strauss, current chief investment strategist and chief economist, will team with Snyder to communicate the firm’s points of view to investors in the program. He will also work with Snyder to construct new investment strategies.

Marc Bernhardt, currently a relationship officer serving program clients, has been appointed to the role of director, portfolio strategist. Reporting to Strauss, he will direct the investment team’s efforts in support of all clients of the program.

3) AllianceBernstein Launches Z Class of Retirement Shares, Enhances Website

AllianceBernstein L.P. announced Wednesday that it will now offer a new nonrevenue share class, Z shares, for a select group of mutual funds. Z shares will be the lowest-priced share class for the firm’s funds. They became available for purchase on Wednesday for the following funds: AllianceBernstein Core Opportunities Fund (ADGZX); AllianceBernstein Discovery Value Fund (ABSZX); AllianceBernstein Equity Income Fund (AUIZX); AllianceBernstein Global Bond Fund (ANAZX); AllianceBernstein Growth and Income Fund (CBBZX); and AllianceBernstein High Income Fund (AGDZX).

Z shares are offered without 12b-1 fees or subtransfer agency fees and there is no minimum initial investment requirement. In addition, the firm will not make distribution services and educational support payments in respect of Class Z shares.

AllianceBernstein has also introduced a series of enhancements to the retirement section of its website. The newly revamped Retirement Leaders website provides tools and resources for retirement-focused advisors, including a personalized home screen with access to retirement practice-management resources, industry trends, interactive tools, recent legal and regulatory updates, tools to help build investment menus and other topics.

Top 10 Financial Companies To Watch For 2014

Read the Oct. 11 Portfolio Products Roundup at ThinkAdvisor.

Wednesday, October 16, 2013

What to Do During Medicare Open Enrollment

Do I need to do anything during the Medicare open-enrollment period this year? I've been happy with my Part D prescription-drug plan.

SEE ALSO: 10 Things You Must Know About Medicare

You will automatically keep your Part D coverage if you don't make any changes to it during open enrollment, which runs from October 15 to December 7 for 2014 plans. But it's a good idea to shop around again for Medicare Part D prescription-drug plans and all-in-one Medicare Advantage plans, especially if your health or medications have changed. Even if your premiums haven't risen much, your out-of-pocket costs could change significantly.

Many Part D plans have increased premiums, boosted co-payments and changed the pricing tiers for prescription drugs. A number of plans have four or five tiers of drug pricing, and your out-of-pocket costs could go up if the insurer moves your drugs from one pricing tier to another. If a medication moves from a preferred to a non-preferred brand-name drug or specialty drug, for example, you may have to pay as much as 25% of the cost yourself. Some plans even have two pricing tiers for generic drugs, charging a higher co-payment for non-preferred generics.

One of the biggest changes in recent years is the growth of preferred pharmacy plans. More insurers are introducing low-premium versions of plans that also charge lower co-payments if you buy your drugs through certain preferred or mail-order pharmacies. The Humana Walmart Preferred Rx plan, for example, charges a monthly premium of $12.60 and co-payments of just $1 for preferred generics at Walmart and Sam's Club pharmacies, and $0 for generic drugs through the RightSource mail order pharmacy, but a $10 co-payment if you buy from non-preferred network retail pharmacies. Tier 3 preferred brand-name drugs have a 20% coinsurance at Walmart and Sam's Club pharmacies and at the RightSource mail-order pharmacy, but a 25% coinsurance through non-preferred network pharmacies. (Co-payments are a fixed-dollar amount that you pay for each prescription, coinsurance is a percentage of the cost that you must pay.)

Top 10 Value Stocks To Buy For 2014

To shop for a Part D prescription-drug policy or just check out your options, go to Medicare.gov's Plan Finder and type in your zip code (or your Medicare number for a personalized search), drugs, dosages and up to two pharmacies near your home. The tool lets you know if there is a generic alternative.

Click on "prescription drug plans" for Part D plans and you'll see information for all of the plans available in your area. Look at the monthly premiums, deductibles and co-payments, but focus primarily on the "estimated annual drug costs" column, which includes the premiums, deductibles and co-pays for your specific drugs and dosages. Also look at the plans' star ratings, which assess the Part D plans' customer service, complaints and member satisfaction.

You can compare up to three plans and see where to find more information about each plan's cost and coverage. You'll also see a list of the plan's network pharmacies in your zip code and how much you can save by using a mail-order pharmacy.

For more information about shopping for a plan for 2014, see Time for Medicare Open Enrollment. You can also get assistance shopping for a Part D plan through your local State Health Insurance Assistance Program (SHIP); call 800-633-4227 or go to www.shiptalk.org for contact information. You may also want to review the plan's information on the insurer's Web site before signing up for the new plan. The Medicare.gov Plan Finder information was delayed because of the government shutdown and most of the information on the site was updated by October 15, but it's a good idea to double check the information with the insurer's Web site, at least when shopping in mid-October.

Note that Medicare open enrollment is not related to open enrollment for the state health insurance marketplaces. Those exchanges are only for people who are under age 65 and not enrolled in Medicare. See Changes in Medicare for 2014 for details.

Got a question? Ask Kim at askkim@kiplinger.com.



Tuesday, October 15, 2013

Microsoft Is So Much More Than Windows 8

Hot Value Stocks For 2014

Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT  ) has become so much more than Windows. In fact, Windows is now its third-largest segment behind servers and its business divisions. These two businesses grew 11% and 10%, respectively, in the first quarter, offsetting flat Windows revenue when you take out deferred revenue. Erin Miller sat down with Fool contributor Travis Hoium to see if this means Microsoft is worth buying now.

For an even more in-depth look, check out our brand-new premium report on Microsoft. Our analyst explains that while the opportunity is huge, the challenges are many. He's also providing regular updates as key events occur, so make sure to claim a copy of this report now by clicking here.

Monday, October 14, 2013

Why Synopsys's Earnings Are Outstanding

Although business headlines still tout earnings numbers, many investors have moved past net earnings as a measure of a company's economic output. That's because earnings are very often less trustworthy than cash flow, since earnings are more open to manipulation based on dubious judgment calls.

Earnings' unreliability is one of the reasons Foolish investors often flip straight past the income statement to check the cash flow statement. In general, by taking a close look at the cash moving in and out of the business, you can better understand whether the last batch of earnings brought money into the company, or merely disguised a cash gusher with a pretty headline.

Calling all cash flows
When you are trying to buy the market's best stocks, it's worth checking up on your companies' free cash flow once a quarter or so, to see whether it bears any relationship to the net income in the headlines. That's what we do with this series. Today, we're checking in on Synopsys (Nasdaq: SNPS  ) , whose recent revenue and earnings are plotted below.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Data is current as of last fully reported fiscal quarter. Dollar values in millions. FCF = free cash flow. FY = fiscal year. TTM = trailing 12 months.

Over the past 12 months, Synopsys generated $376.8 million cash while it booked net income of $195.6 million. That means it turned 20.9% of its revenue into FCF. That sounds pretty impressive.

All cash is not equal
Unfortunately, the cash flow statement isn't immune from nonsense, either. That's why it pays to take a close look at the components of cash flow from operations, to make sure that the cash flows are of high quality. What does that mean? To me, it means they need to be real and replicable in the upcoming quarters, rather than being offset by continual cash outflows that don't appear on the income statement (such as major capital expenditures).

For instance, cash flow based on cash net income and adjustments for non-cash income-statement expenses (like depreciation) is generally favorable. An increase in cash flow based on stiffing your suppliers (by increasing accounts payable for the short term) or shortchanging Uncle Sam on taxes will come back to bite investors later. The same goes for decreasing accounts receivable; this is good to see, but it's ordinary in recessionary times, and you can only increase collections so much. Finally, adding stock-based compensation expense back to cash flows is questionable when a company hands out a lot of equity to employees and uses cash in later periods to buy back those shares.

So how does the cash flow at Synopsys look? Take a peek at the chart below, which flags questionable cash flow sources with a red bar.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Data is current as of last fully reported fiscal quarter. Dollar values in millions. TTM = trailing 12 months.

When I say "questionable cash flow sources," I mean items such as changes in taxes payable, tax benefits from stock options, and asset sales, among others. That's not to say that companies booking these as sources of cash flow are weak, or are engaging in any sort of wrongdoing, or that everything that comes up questionable in my graph is automatically bad news. But whenever a company is getting more than, say, 10% of its cash from operations from these dubious sources, investors ought to make sure to refer to the filings and dig in.

With 16.5% of operating cash flow coming from questionable sources, Synopsys investors should take a closer look at the underlying numbers. Within the questionable cash flow figure plotted in the TTM period above, stock-based compensation and related tax benefits provided the biggest boost, at 16.8% of cash flow from operations. Overall, the biggest drag on FCF came from capital expenditures, which consumed 13.2% of cash from operations.

A Foolish final thought
Most investors don't keep tabs on their companies' cash flow. I think that's a mistake. If you take the time to read past the headlines and crack a filing now and then, you're in a much better position to spot potential trouble early. Better yet, you'll improve your odds of finding the underappreciated home-run stocks that provide the market's best returns.

Software and computerized services are being consumed in radically different ways, on new and increasingly mobile devices. Many old leaders will be left behind. Whether or not Synopsys makes the coming cut, you should check out the company that Motley Fool analysts expect to lead the pack in "The Next Trillion-dollar Revolution." Click here for instant access to this free report.

We can help you keep tabs on your companies with My Watchlist, our free, personalized stock tracking service.

Add Synopsys to My Watchlist.

Sunday, October 13, 2013

Top 5 Casino Companies To Own For 2014

I often hear from others that they want to make quick and fast money. I can understand this wish from some investors. If you don�� have enough money for your investing goals, you need to speculate in order to get a higher amount of money in a very short time.

This is a very dangerous process. I�� a believer in slow growing dividend growth and I think that if you save a bit each month, in the end you will definitely have a high amount of money. The stock market could help you to boost your money with a 5 to 10 percent return.

Speculation is not investing. It�� money gambling like casino or poker. Today I would like to introduce you some of the stocks with the highest sentiment on the market. I used the S&P 500 High Beta Index for the stock ideas. The index covers 100 stocks from the broad S&P 500 with the highest sensitivity to market movements over the past 12 months. The beta ratio is the main valuation driver.

Top 5 Casino Companies To Own For 2014: Penn National Gaming Inc.(PENN)

Penn National Gaming, Inc. and its subsidiaries own and manage gaming and pari-mutuel properties in the United States. It operates approximately 27,000 gaming machines; 500 table games; and 2,000 hotel rooms in 23 facilities in 16 jurisdictions, including Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Mississippi, Missouri, New Jersey, New Mexico, Ohio, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, and Ontario. The company was formerly known as PNRC Corp. and changed its name to Penn National Gaming, Inc. in 1994. Penn National Gaming, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is based in Wyomissing, Pennsylvania.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Roberto Pedone]

     

    Penn National Gaming (PENN) is a diversified, multi-jurisdictional owner and manager of gaming and pari-mutuel properties. This stock closed up 1.4% at $56.13 in Monday's trading session.

     

    Monday's Volume: 1.11 million

    Three-Month Average Volume: 824,334

    Volume % Change: 73%

     

     

    From a technical perspective, PENN jumped modestly higher here right above some near-term support at $54.71 with above-average volume. This move is quickly pushing shares of PENN within range of triggering a breakout trade. That trade will hit if PENN manages to take out some near-term overhead resistance at $57.44 to some past resistance at $58 with high volume.

     

    Traders should now look for long-biased trades in PENN as long as it's trending above Monday's low $55.65 or above more support at $54.71 and then once it sustains a move or close above those breakout levels with volume that this near or above 824,334 shares. If that breakout hits soon, then PENN will set up to re-test or possibly take out its 52-week high at $59.93. Any high-volume move above $59.93 will then give PENN a chance to hit $65.

     

Top 5 Casino Companies To Own For 2014: Pinnacle Entertainment Inc.(PNK)

Pinnacle Entertainment, Inc. owns, develops, and operates casinos, and related hospitality and entertainment facilities in the United States. It operates casinos, such as L'Auberge du Lac in Lake Charles, Louisiana; River City Casino and Lumiere Place in St. Louis, Missouri; Boomtown New Orleans in New Orleans, Louisiana; Belterra Casino Resort in Vevay, Indiana; Boomtown Bossier City in Bossier City, Louisiana; and Boomtown Reno in Reno, Nevada. The company also operates River Downs racetrack in southeast Cincinnati, Ohio. As of May 26, 2011, it operated seven casinos and one racetrack. The company was formerly known as Hollywood Park, Inc. and changed its name to Pinnacle Entertainment, Inc. in February 2000. Pinnacle Entertainment, Inc. was founded in 1935 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Dan Radovsky]

    Pinnacle Entertainment (NYSE: PNK  ) has reached an agreement in principle with the Bureau of Competition of the Federal Trade Commission that would allow the company to complete its proposed acquisition of Ameristar Casinos (NASDAQ: ASCA  ) , Pinnacle announced today.

  • [By Travis Hoium]

    What: Shares of Ameristar Casinos (NASDAQ: ASCA  ) and Pinnacle Entertainment (NYSE: PNK  ) fell as much as 11% today after the government brought into question the merger of the two companies.

  • [By Ben Levisohn]

    Pinnacle Entertainment (PNK) has gained 56% this year; Las Vegas Sands (LVS) has climbed 38%. And Deutsche Bank has nice things to say about both today.

    Bloomberg

    First Pinnacle. Deutsche Bank’s Carlo Santarelli ponders the stock’s big move and comes away still seeing value in its shares. He writes:

    When we upgraded PNK in April, our thesis centered on the FCF strength of the combined entities [Pinnacle completed its acquisition of Ameristar Casinos on Aug. 14], a handful of favorable catalysts, easing regional gaming comps, & an inexpensive relative valuation. Given the shares’ sizeable move since then, we believe it is worth revisiting the investment case. Post the announcement of several asset sales and the closing of the transaction, we are adjusting our estimates, raising our PT to $30 from $24, and maintaining our bullish view at current levels given what we still believe to be an attractive free cash flow valuation, meaningful potential synergy realization beyond the $40 mm of announced benefits, and a free option on a lagging regional recovery.

    Santarelli also revisited Las Vegas Sands and there too, he likes what he sees. He writes:

    With…LVS at [a share price level] that have been challenging to break from over the last year plus, we believe this time is different and hence we see continued upward momentum…In the case of LVS, we see; 1) meaningful mass market strength continuing through year end, setting the stage for upward company and market estimate revisions for 2014, 2) continued cash flow appreciation and capital returns serving as downside protection and positive catalysts, and 3) continued shared gains, largely driven by table optimization and mass market strength, driving both estimates and sentiment.

    He also likes Wynn Resorts (WYNN), despite its 34% gain.�Santarelli writes:

    As for WYNN, we believe near-term estimates continue to take a back seat to capital return

10 Best Insurance Stocks To Watch For 2014: Boyd Gaming Corporation(BYD)

Boyd Gaming Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a multi-jurisdictional gaming company in the United States. As of December 31, 2011, the company owned and operated 1,042,787 square feet of casino space, containing approximately 25,973 slot machines, 655 table games, and 11,418 hotel rooms. It also owned and operated 16 gaming entertainment properties located in Nevada, Illinois, Louisiana, Mississippi, Indiana, and New Jersey. In addition, the company owns and operates a pari-mutuel jai-alai facility located in Dania Beach, Florida, as well as a travel agency in Hawaii. Further, it holds a 50% controlling interest in the limited liability company that operates Borgata Hotel Casino and Spa in Atlantic City, New Jersey. Boyd Gaming Corporation was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By M. Joy, Hayes]

    Industry trends
    Other businesses in the industry also have copious related-party transactions. In particular, founder-led businesses Wynn Resorts (NASDAQ: WYNN  ) and Boyd Gaming (NYSE: BYD  ) �reported a large number of such transactions in their 2013 proxies, including employment of relatives, employee use of company services, and employee use of company-owned property. MGM Resorts International (NYSE: MGM  ) , on the other hand, didn't have to report any related-party transactions in its 2013 proxy.

  • [By Travis Hoium]

    Even if a federal bill does pass, there's no guarantee Zynga would win. Online poker is all about gaining a critical mass of users, and it's a uphill battle. MGM Resorts (NYSE: MGM  ) and Boyd Gaming (NYSE: BYD  ) have already partnered with bwin.party for a U.S. online gaming venture. Bwin.party is one of the largest real-money online poker companies in the world, and with PokerStars likely shut out of the U.S. in the near future, this would be a formidable opponent. Caesars Entertainment (NASDAQ: CZR  ) has also had its eyes on online poker for some time, and with the World Series of Poker brand, it has a big draw for players. Caesars thinks so much of online poker that it's spinning off its "growth" assets, and online games are a key part of the new company.

  • [By Roberto Pedone]

    One gaming player that's rapidly moving within range of triggering a big breakout trade is Boyd Gaming (BYD), which owns and operates gaming entertainment facilities located in Nevada, Mississippi, Illinois, Louisiana and Indiana. This stock has been blazing a trail to the upside so far in 2013, with shares up sharply by 115%.

    If you look at the chart for Boyd Gaming, you'll notice that this stock has been uptrending strong over the last month and change, with shares moving sharply higher from its low of $11.27 to its intraday high of $14.38 a share. During that move, shares of BYD have been consistently making higher lows and higher highs, which is bullish technical price action. That move has now pushed shares of BYD into breakout territory above resistance at $13.79 a share, and it's quickly pushing the stock within range of another big breakout trade.

    Traders should now look for long-biased trades in BYD if it manages to break out above its 52-week high at $14.50 a share with high volume. Look for a sustained move or close above that level with volume that hits near or above its three-month average action of 2.34 million shares. If that breakout triggers soon, then BYD will set up to enter new 52-week-high territory, which is bullish technical price action. Some possible upside targets off that move are $18 to $20 a share.

    Traders can look to buy BYD off any weakness to anticipate that breakout and simply use a stop that sits right below some near-term support at $13 a share. One can also buy BYD off strength once it takes out $14.50 a share with volume and then simply use a stop that sits a comfortable percentage from your entry point.

Top 5 Casino Companies To Own For 2014: Wynn Resorts Limited(WYNN)

Wynn Resorts, Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, ownership, and operation of destination casino resorts. The company owns and operates Wynn Las Vegas casino resort in Las Vegas, which includes approximately 22 food and beverage outlets comprising 5 dining restaurants; 2 nightclubs; 1 spa and salon; 1 Ferrari and Maserati automobile dealership; wedding chapels; an 18-hole golf course; meeting space; and foot retail promenade featuring boutiques. Wynn Las Vegas casino resort also features approximately 147 table games, 1 baccarat salon, private VIP gaming rooms, 1 poker room, 1,842 slot machines, and 1 race and sports book. It also owns and operates an Encore at Wynn Las Vegas resort, a destination casino resort located adjacent to Wynn Las Vegas that features a 2,034 all-suite hotel, as well as a casino with 95 table games, 1 sky casino, 1 baccarat salon, private VIP gaming rooms, and 778 slot machines. In addition, the company operates Wyn n Macau casino resort located in the Macau Special Administrative Region of the People?s Republic of China. Wynn Macau casino resort features approximately 595 hotel rooms and suites, 410 table games, 935 slot machines, 1 poker room, 1 sky casino, 6 restaurants, 1 spa and salon, lounges, meeting facilities, and retail space featuring boutiques. Further, it operates Encore at Wynn Macau resort located adjacent to Wynn Macau. Encore at Wynn Macau resort features approximately 410 luxury suites and 4 villas, as well as casino gaming space, including a sky casino consisting of 60 table games and 80 slot machines, 2 restaurants, 1 luxury spa, and retail space. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Dan Caplinger]

    Moreover, corporations assisted taxpayers in achieving the same goal by making larger-than-usual dividend payments to their shareholders. Casino giant Wynn Resorts (NASDAQ: WYNN  ) , warehouse-club retailer Costco (NASDAQ: COST  ) , and hundreds of other companies declared special dividends that sent billions of dollars into investors' hands, much of which they had to count as taxable income. Moreover, many other companies decided to take dividends they had planned to pay in 2013 and make payments early instead. Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT  ) paid its usual January dividend in December, while Oracle (NYSE: ORCL  ) actually made three quarters' worth of dividend payments at the end of 2012.

  • [By M. Joy, Hayes]

    Industry trends
    Other businesses in the industry also have copious related-party transactions. In particular, founder-led businesses Wynn Resorts (NASDAQ: WYNN  ) and Boyd Gaming (NYSE: BYD  ) �reported a large number of such transactions in their 2013 proxies, including employment of relatives, employee use of company services, and employee use of company-owned property. MGM Resorts International (NYSE: MGM  ) , on the other hand, didn't have to report any related-party transactions in its 2013 proxy.

  • [By John Udovich]

    Melco Crown Entertainment Ltd (NASDAQ: MPEL) is a pure play Macau casino gaming stock that�� delivered an exceptional performance for investors verses the Las Vegas Sands Corp (NYSE: LVS), Wynn Resorts, Limited (NASDAQ: WYNN) and Market Vectors Gaming ETF (NYSEARCA: BJK), which also have exposure to the Macau casino gaming market, for a good reason. In 2006, Macau officially overtook the Las Vegas Strip as the largest casino gaming market in the world thanks in part to its location near Hong Kong�that�� also�within easy reach of the two billion people in China, Taiwan, Japan, South Korea, Thailand, Malaysia, Singapore, Indonesia and the Philippines. With that said, there could be some unfavorable trends or concerns that might make both Macau and Melco Crown Entertainment less of a sure bet.

Top 5 Casino Companies To Own For 2014: (XTRN)

Las Vegas Railway Express Inc. focuses to re-establish a conventional passenger train service between the Las Vegas and Los Angeles metropolitan areas. It plans to establish a ?Vegas-style? passenger train service. The company is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Thursday, October 10, 2013

Lockheed Martin to furlough 3,000 workers

BETHESDA, Md. — Lockheed Martin will furlough 3,000 employees on Monday and potentially more in coming weeks due to the government shutdown.

The defense contractor said Friday that the furloughs will affect its business nationwide and it is working closely with customers to assess the impact. It said the number of employees put on furlough will increase weekly if the shutdown continues, but did not specify how high the count could rise.

"I'm disappointed that we must take these actions and we continue to encourage our lawmakers to come together to pass a funding bill that will end this shutdown," Marillyn Hewson, Lockheed's CEO and president, said in a statement. "We hope that Congress and the Administration are able to resolve this situation as soon as possible."

UNITED TECHNOLOGIES: May furlough 5,000

NO AUG. JOBS DATA: Because of shutdown

Lockheed says the furloughs include employees who are unable to work because the government facility where they perform their work is closed, as well as those whose work requires a government inspection that cannot be completed or for which the company has received a stop work order.

This announcement comes just days after United Technologies Corp. said that it will furlough 2,000 employees by Monday and more than 5,000 if the shutdown continues into next month. The company, which makes Blackhawk helicopters and other products, says it will halt some manufacturing because government inspectors have been furloughed and they are necessary for federal approval to make military products.

The partial government shutdown took effect Tuesday and has idled roughly 800,000 "non-essential" federal workers.

Wednesday, October 9, 2013

3 Undervalued Dividend Dynamos for Your Portfolio

With the threat of a government shutdown and weak global data causing a decline in the market, it might be prudent for investors take a look at dividend stocks. Dividends are the safety net we can all fall back on when there are times of worry or panic, and there are numerous options on sale right now. However, we must still choose wisely, as many companies could cut their dividends or do away with the distributions entirely if it gets bad enough. Here are three companies that have high yields that are completely safe in today's market:

General Mills (NYSE: GIS  ) General Mills is the parent company behind Betty Crocker, Pillsbury, Haagen-Dazs, Green Giant, Progresso, Yoplait, Cheerios and numerous other cereal and consumer product brands. It provides products to the U.S. and international retail segments, as well as to foodservice providers and convenience stores. Currently, General Mill's products are available in over 100 countries, with offices and manufacturing facilities in more than 30 of them. 

This company has been paying dividends uninterrupted and without reduction since 1898, resulting in an absolutely incredible 115 consecutive years of payments. It has raised its dividend for 10 straight years, including a 15.15% increase earlier this year from $0.33 to $0.38, giving it a yield of about 3.18%. General Mills has also been repurchasing its shares, resulting in over $1.9 billion in cash being returned to shareholders via dividends and buybacks in 2013. 

General Mills has a 5-year annual dividend growth rate of 11.10% and generates ample free cash flow to continue a rate above 10% for the next several years. Its track record is proven and is home to arguably the safest dividend in the market today. Shares have fallen nearly 10% below its 52-week high, so there is plenty of upside from here. I believe General Mills will rally to fresh highs after the government shutdown issues are resolved. 

Clorox (NYSE: CLX  ) Clorox is a worldwide leader in the manufacturing and marketing of consumer products. It is home to some of the most popular brands that many consumers use every single day, such as Clorox wipes, bleach, and disinfecting spray, Tilex, Kingsford, Pine-Sol, Liquid-Plumr, and Burt's Bees. Clorox reported fourth quarter earnings on August 1, showing increases on both the top and bottom lines, and a 36% increase in free cash flow year-over-year. 

Management has been instrumental in using its free cash to initiate buybacks, as it repurchased 1.5 million shares in the fourth quarter, and to raise its dividend, as it has every year since 1977. The company currently pays out $2.84 annually, resulting in a yield of about 3.45%. Clorox is a best-in-class dividend stock.

According to YCharts, Clorox has a 5-year average yield of 3.24%, and I believe this average will easily be maintained. The stock currently trades over 8.5% below its 52-week high, so there is plenty of room for price appreciation as well as the income from dividend payments. I have been long this company for several weeks and will add to it on any further weakness.

(A full analysis of Clorox can be found here)

Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO  )  
Coca-Cola is the global nonalcoholic beverage leader with over 3,500 products offered in more than 200 countries. Its most popular products include Coca-Cola, Diet Coke, Sprite, Fanta, Dasani, Powerade, Fuze, and VitaminWater. It has been the industry leader in many categories for decades and has rewarded its shareholders accordingly. 

Coca-Cola is home to one of the best dividends in the investment world. It currently pays out $1.12 annually, resulting in a yield of roughly 2.96%. The most impressive thing about this dividend is that it has been raised for 51 consecutive years, including a 9.8% increase in 2013. The company has a 5-year average dividend yield of 2.89%, according to YCharts, and maintaining this range will be easy for the global powerhouse with sixteen $1 billion brands. With the company's consistent free cash flow generation, it is safe to assume the streak of consecutive raises is going to continue for decades to come.

The latest quarterly report was released on July 16 and it showed earnings per share rising 3.8% and revenue falling 2.7%; this is not a cause for major concern, but I would pay attention to its next report to make sure strength is regained. The stock is currently trading over 12.5% below its 52-week high and has become both a value and dividend play. I do not see much more downside in this one and it could be a top performer in 2014. 

(A full analysis of Coca-Cola can be found here)

The Bottom Line
General MIlls, Clorox, and Coca Cola can provide safety in today's uncertain market. All three have high yields and are undervalued on a fundamental basis, allowing for plenty of upside appreciation along with returns from dividend payments. Take a look at your portfolio and see if you could make a diversified addition with one of these very strong companies. 

Stocks for Income Investors
Dividend stocks can make you rich. It's as simple as that. While they don't garner the notoriety of high-flying growth stocks, they're also less likely to crash and burn. And over the long term, the compounding effect of the quarterly payouts, as well as their growth, adds up faster than most investors imagine. With this in mind, our analysts sat down to identify the absolute best of the best when it comes to rock-solid dividend stocks, drawing up a list in this free report of nine that fit the bill. To discover the identities of these companies before the rest of the market catches on, you can download this valuable free report by simply clicking here now.

10 Best Biotech Stocks To Buy Right Now

Tuesday, October 8, 2013

Arrests in U.K. follow Silk Road bust

silk road ross william ulbricht

This artist impression shows Ross William Ulbricht, the man accused of creating Silk Road, appearing in a San Francisco court earlier this month.

LONDON (CNNMoney) British police expect to make "many more" arrests after detaining four men they say were associated with the infamous online drug website, Silk Road.

The FBI shut down Silk Road last week and arrested the man who they say created it: Ross William Ulbricht.

Silk Road had been the go-to black market for all sorts of illegal products and services since its 2011 inception.

The online marketplace offered an easy way to find goods and services and make anonymous transactions. The site had 957,079 registered users, according to the FBI.

The four men arrested in Britain were held on drugs offenses.

"These arrests send a clear message to criminals; the hidden internet isn't hidden and your anonymous activity isn't anonymous," said Keith Bristow, head of the U.K. National Crime Agency.

The only money accepted on Silk Road was the digital currency bitcoin, which was meant to add an additional layer of anonymity to buyers and sellers.

Over the past two and a half years, the FBI said the site generated revenue worth more than 9.5 million bitcoins -- valued at roughly $1.3 billion.

British police said millions of pounds worth of bitcoins had been seized in the operations against Silk Road, and they were working with other countries to investigate the threat presented by virtual currencies.

Silk Road wasn't just used for dealing in illegal drugs. The FBI says it was also used to trade firearms, hire assassins and employ hackers.

The FBI had worked on shuttering Silk Road and tracking down its creator since late 2011. For the investigation, the FBI teamed up with ! the IRS, Drug Enforcement Administration and an investigative unit of the Department of Immigration and Customs Enforcement.

--CNNMoney's Jose Pagliery contributed to this report. To top of page

Sunday, October 6, 2013

How to cultivate right mindset to be a successful investor

The investor and his mind

Sigmund Freud made a name for himself by interpreting dreams through the use of his knowledge of psychoanalysis. He succeeded in deciphering the various quirks inside the human brain which influenced their behavior. Had Freud tried to interpret the dreams of investors, perhaps a new dimension could have been added to the subject of investor behavior.

Freud did not entirely dishearten though, he had indeed dwelt on the subject.  People, over the years, have used his studies for various reasons like the exploration of the causes behind the global economic collapse and the general understanding of the subtleties of behavioral finance.

Investment consultants and financial pundits have not only tried to understand the vagaries of the money market, they have also devoted considerable time and attention to investor behavior study. Both have been equally volatile and predictably unpredictable.

This article seeks to take a peek into the investor's mind and also strives to make readers aware about those behavioral patterns which can be detrimental to their financial health. Emotions are an integral part of our behavior and it is no different for investors.

The commotion caused by emotion

Emotions often lead to a situation where the investor deviates from the pragmatic route and acts contrary to their natural self. Their mood swings are influenced by greed and headstrong decisions. When things look rosy, investors' rush in to encash the bonanzas, on the flip side, when the markets are glum, they withdraw into their shell.

Another common investor behavior pattern, commonly referred to as the 'herd behavior', is about trying to emulate others who have made more money in the market.

However, the prudent investor is one who follows the dictum of Rabindrnath Tagore 'ekla chalo re' which means that '… at times people have to traverse the path alone..'. These investors move ahead due to their single minded determination and aversion to being swayed by emotions.

Investors who come up winners against odds tend to study the market carefully, they gather a fair idea from the signs in the market- whether investment at a particular point of time is conducive or not, if the lenders and general investors are showing eagerness and other factors like ease of entry of new funds and widths of credit spreads.

'Too much of anything is bad'- it is said, and this perception holds for investors too. The height of both optimism and pessimism can lead to situations which can lead to monetary loss in one hand and loss of opportunities on the other hand.

The Science of Prudence

Financial prudence is something which cannot be quantified, it has to be observed and assessed. The economic crisis of 2008 was preceded by activities indulged in by investors which reflected high levels of risk propensity and low levels of prudence.

In this context, Warren Buffet's words reflect his wisdom "The less prudence with which others conduct their affairs, the greater the prudence with which we must conduct our own affairs". It is not without reason that Buffet is considered to be  one of the most successful investors of our times.

Risk aversion is a behavioral phenomena which is not constant. It is linked to a lot of extraneous factors and investors need to carefully weigh all the options before arriving at a decision, be it a buy or sell decision. High risk aversion could result in a lot of good 'buy' opportunities go untouched and low risk aversion could lead to purchases which turn out to be catastrophic.

The mystery of history

"Where is the knowledge we have lost in information?", lamented noted poet T S Eliot. This is indeed true, even Albert Einstein stated that "The only source of knowledge is experience" and "Information is not knowledge".

We often tend to miss the greater picture by directing our attention towards bits of information, which can be utterly misleading. The totality of an event can only be known by becoming aware of its history.

"Those who forget their history are condemned to repeat them"- is an axiomatic statement which has been endorsed in history. The sequence of events leading to a major economic downturn can slowly fade from memory as the gap between such events sometimes span over decades.

However, for a serious investor, it is imperative to remember such instances and draw from its experience and knowledge. However, the moot point remains that even though investors possess the necessary knowledge they tend to act more out of their faith and belief. What they know to be true in most cases turn out to be untrue.

It is more about that fact that people believe what they want to believe and that could be anything but the truth. The devil in the mind raises its head and overshadows logic and prudence, greed takes over and leads the investor astray.

'Safety' to 'growth', a poorly traversed road

Elasticity and volatility have much in common. It can stretch either way. Market volatility can reach for the stars and head towards the pit depending on the economic situation.

Equities and investments in equities are a fairly recent phenomenon and has been around for about 65 years or so. After a sluggish take off, equities gained momentum between 1960 and 1972, and then again between 1982 to 1999.

After its initial popularity, the inevitable happened, a plethora of equity in the market led to a saturation. Equity performances nose dived, prices reverse spiraled rapidly and the investor's spirit took a beating leading to a loss of interest in equities. This was triggered in 2000.

The situation hardly improved during the next three year period and people began to abandon equities for more secure investment options. There was a paradigm shift from the previous drive for 'growth' to a more sedate "safety and income" stance.

Investors ignored equities between 2000 to 2003. During 2003 stock market started recovering slowly. Any thing which slowly grows will not capture the attention. Investors continue to ignore this slow growth in 2003 and 2004. Only in 2005 when stock market rised sizably, investors started noticing it and started investing in it. They have missed the initial rally in the market.

Instead of swinging between safety and growth, investors need to determine an asset allocation ratio based on their risk appetite and required rate of return. They need to stick to this asset allocation ratio regardless of the crash or rise in the stock market. This will reduce their overall risk and build their wealth.

If you could practice the above steps that will help you cultivate the right mindset to be a successful investor.

The author is Ramalingam K, CFP CM is the Chief Financial Planner at holisticinvestment.in, a leading Financial Planning and Wealth Management company.

Saturday, October 5, 2013

Apple Suffers a Downgrade on Uncertainty (AAPL)

Apple (AAPL) may have reported record sales with its latest iPhone device today, but that did not stop Societe Generale from downgrading the stock.

An analyst with Societe Generale moved Apple’s stock to a “Hold” from a “Buy,” though the analyst still maintained a price target of $500. It was noted that while sales for the newest device have been strong, margins may be set to decline in the coming months. It was noted that this downgrade was based on the very near term.

Should demand for the new Apple devices stay strong, the company may very well be able to maintain or increase margins, especially with the Chinese market opening up.

Apple’s stock cared little of the downgrade as it soared more than $23.23, or 4.73%, by Monday’s close. The stock is still down over 7% this year.

Friday, October 4, 2013

Cloud Computing and Fiber Provider Stocks That Could Lead Technology for Years

Think about how much data the average individual tries to access on any given day. To put this into perspective, when people want to look up something on the Internet, they don’t “surf the Web,” they “Google it.” The demand placed on companies for storage and retrieval of data is becoming gigantic.

Last week, the cloud technology team from Cowen & Co. attended 451 Group's Hosting and Cloud Transformation Summit in Las Vegas. During the two-day event the analysts met with several chief technology officers and financial sponsors, and they attended several panel discussions. In a new research report, they pointed out that mergers and acquisitions in the space could be right around the corner. They also highlighted several names within their coverage universe as solid ways for investors to play “the cloud.”

Akamai Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: AKAM) has been able to offer scalable benefits associated with offloading services from client infrastructures, allowing clients to have fewer hard assets in place while providing an ongoing revenue stream for Akamai. This translates into more than 125,000 servers operating dedicated, hybrid cloud and true cloud servers to provide IT and, increasingly, security services in a vast array of companies across a widely diversified group of industries. With an impressive client list that grows each quarter, the company is firing on all cylinders. The Thomson/First Call price objective for the stock is $53.50. Akamai closed Thursday at $51.16.

Equinix Inc. (NASDAQ: EQIX) is expected to be one of the companies in the space looking to employ a merger or acquisition strategy in the near future. The company announced last Friday that it has opened its second International Business Exchange (:IBX) in Rio de Janeiro, based on the platform provided by ALOG Data Centers of Brazil. This new Rio de Janeiro data center, popularly known as RJ2, will enable Equinix to meet the growing demand for data center services in the region. The consensus price target for this top stock is $230.50. Equinix closed Thursday down almost 4% at $166.61.

Interxion Holding N.V. (NYSE: INXN) provides data colocation services through its 34 data centers in 11 European countries. In 2012, the company generated approximately 62% of its total revenues from France, Germany, the Netherlands and the United Kingdom, which represents Interxion’s “Big 4″ markets. The remaining 38% revenue came from seven other European countries. The company's data centers act as content and connectivity hubs that facilitate processing, storage, sharing and distribution of data, content and applications. The consensus price target for the stock is $20.78. Interxion closed at $22.52.

Rackspace Hosting Inc. (NYSE: RAX) recently added a huge new customer in Emerson Electric (NYSE: EMR). In January Emerson started using Rackspace to help tune and monitor climate control products for residential and commercial customers. Adoption has gone so well that Rackspace expects Emerson to hike its commitment from 43 servers today to 100 by year’s end. The consensus price target for the stock is posted at $52. The stock closed at $50.60.

The Cowen analysts are also very positive on the fiber provider space as it works hand-in-hand with the top cloud infrastructure providers. In their report, they also listed these top stocks to buy in that space.

Cogent Communications Group Inc. (NASDAQ: CCOI) provides high-speed Internet access, Internet protocol (IP) and communications services, primarily to small and medium-sized businesses, communications service providers and other bandwidth-intensive organizations in North America, Europe and Japan. The consensus price target for the stock is $35. Investors receive a 1.7% dividend. Cogent closed Thursday at $32.12.

Level 3 Communications Inc. (NYSE: LVLT) is a Fortune 500 company that provides local, national and global communications services to enterprise, government and carrier customers. Level 3′s comprehensive portfolio of secure, managed solutions includes fiber and infrastructure solutions, IP-based voice and data communications, wide-area Ethernet services, video and content distribution, as well as data center and cloud-based solutions. The consensus price target for the stock is $25.75. Level 3 closed at $27.94.

Lumos Networks Corp. (NASDAQ: LMOS) is a leading provider of fiber-based bandwidth infrastructure and IP services in key mid-Atlantic markets. It announced last month it had launched its cloud-based hosted call center solution, which provides best-in-class automated call distribution, integrated voice response and call reporting to help organizations manage call volumes more effectively and efficiently. The service operates over Lumos’s carrier-grade, premium optical network, which provides high-speed, resilient access to the call-center cloud service. The consensus price target for the stock is $20.50. Investors are paid a reasonable 2.7% dividend. Lumos closed Thursday at $20.77.

While some on Wall Street are calling for a large correction in the cloud computing infrastructure business, spending may be poised to increase. At the beginning of 2013, 63% of chief information officers surveyed said they planned to increase spending on storage and networking. Through the first three quarters of the year, signs of that have been few. It is entirely possible that the fourth quarter and 2014 will see the bulk of the planned expenditures. This can only bode well for these top stocks to buy.